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Re^5: "Tired of FUD" Followup: Where the Jobs Are

by menolly (Hermit)
on Feb 12, 2008 at 00:46 UTC ( #667486=note: print w/replies, xml ) Need Help??


in reply to Re^4: "Tired of FUD" Followup: Where the Jobs Are
in thread "Tired of FUD" Followup: Where the Jobs Are

If Plugh coders make up 2% of the population -- which is unrealistic, but hypotheticals are easier with round numbers -- there are 2K Plugh coders in Florin, and 20K in Guilder.

Given 10K jobs per country, Plugh coders in Florin can name their price; Plugh coders in Guilder have to be in the top half of the field,and may have trouble finding another position if they lose theirs or don't like the conditions. Or they move to Florin, where it'll be easier to get a gig. But without per-capita job data, how are they to know it's easy to find Plugh work in Florin?

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Re^6: "Tired of FUD" Followup: Where the Jobs Are
by KurtSchwind (Chaplain) on Feb 12, 2008 at 15:12 UTC

    The whole Per Capita issue is a red herring. There is a false underlying assumption when we talk about it.

    It doesn't matter if there are 10,000 openings in a city of 1Million or just 20,000. The question is how many people qualify for that job in the city of 1Million vs 20,000 and how many of them are looking for a job. So to make any real sense of per-capita data (and make any conclusions from it), you'd need a lot of meta data that you don't have. What's the unemployment rate. If the city of 20,000 has 15,000 plugh programmers and the city of 1Million has 10,001 then the 'per capita' data will falsely lead you to assume that you are better off in the burg than the city.

    I'm with Merlyn on this. Having per-capita data does more harm than good. It's a useless statistic without loads of demographic data.

    --
    I used to drive a Heisenbergmobile, but every time I looked at the speedometer, I got lost.

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