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I prefer what's behind

by vroom (His Eminence)
on Dec 12, 2000 at 11:49 UTC ( #46229=poll: print w/replies, xml ) Need Help??

Vote on this poll

Door #1
[bar] 24/6%
Door #2
[bar] 49/13%
Can't I have both
[bar] 118/30%
I don't trust what's behind either door
[bar] 200/51%
391 total votes
Replies are listed 'Best First'.
Re: I prefer what's behind
by mrmick (Curate) on Dec 12, 2000 at 18:18 UTC
    I'll take both and if I like them, I'll keep them.....

    If I don't like one of them - I'll give it away to someone who might like it.

    Always keep one's options open!


      A bit like my attitude to christmas presents.... ;)

Re: I prefer what's behind
by MF (Scribe) on Dec 12, 2000 at 20:58 UTC

    This is not an honest election, the default value of the radio button is Door #1 !!


    "Let's not include text here.."
(brainpan) Re: I prefer what's behind
by brainpan (Monk) on Dec 13, 2000 at 11:04 UTC
    My vote was the 11th cast, and I walk back now that there's 130 and see all kinds of intelligent dialog about the probability of selecting the "correct" door. What to do with a bunch of type A's on a presumed quest for riches? In the interest of involving perl in this discussion, here are a few links to relevant scripts written by's own Leonard Richardson. He doesn't use strict, warnings or taint checking, and it's not my fault. I'm just the lowly little blob of gray matter redirecting this discussion to involve perl.

    Monty Hall's Hall of Doors:
    Play the game
    Read the source
    Other software which may or may not use strict, warnings &/or taint checking.

    Thank you for your time.

    And no, I don't own 27 pairs of sweatpants.
Re: I prefer what's behind
by ImpalaSS (Monk) on Dec 12, 2000 at 12:30 UTC
    Ohhh.. first to vote for door number 1 :). WHOSE WITH ME! :)

      Why should I settle with one, when they both could be really nice? (Me greedy? Never!)
        Is it greed or just morbid curiosity?
      door #1? you should never pick door #1, thats where they keep the
      monsters and ugly women. not to mention merv griffen's hair piece.
Re: I prefer what's behind
by lemming (Priest) on Dec 12, 2000 at 20:15 UTC
    Is this Monty Haul or do we have the prospect of a tiger behind each door?

    -lemming evidently paranoid this morning
Re: I prefer what's behind
by one4k4 (Hermit) on Dec 12, 2000 at 21:06 UTC
    Well, in theory .. mabye door #1 opens too door #2 .. or we're really standing in the doorway of #1, and can only really see #2? What if the doors swing both ways? Would that make 4 doors total? Take the one on the right.
      Perhaps there's only one door, just labelled "Door #1" and "Door #2" on either side of the door. And maybe there could be some kind of weird wormhole situation going on here where if you open the door one way you can go through to some kind of alternate universe (let's call this Door #1, although it's really just the side of the door labelled "Door #1"), but if you open it the other way you just go through to the other side. Or maybe there's two alternate univi and opening the door either way would give you access to paralell dimensions where opening the Door #1 would cause the Door #2 (the other side of Door #1 in the first universe) to be opened. By opening the door into the alternate universe, you're actually opening another door in that universe, just the other way, so who's to say that it's not Door #2 in the other universe you were opening, thereby opening Door #1 twice (as it's the other side of Door #1, but in another universe, and since Door #2 in another universe opens into another alternate reality, might be opening a whole new can of worms there (and this is only Door #1 (or the side of the door labelled "Door #1" (in our universe (assuming that we can lay claim to this universe and it's not really someone else's) that we've just opened)!). And god knows what would happen if the can of worms opened into the same universe that Door #1 (or #2, depending on which universe you're in and which side you're on) went into.
        What if after opening door #1, you come out of door #2, and vice versa...? Of course the big problem there is...which way does the door swing?

        This is gettin creepy....


        Maybe you would be simply split in twain with half your body shooting to each universe.......

        eeeeeewwwwwwwwwwwwwww... messy

        Roy Alan

        Ok we'll try this one more time. There is only one door. Keep it simple stupid !!! ! !
Door Number Three
by turnstep (Parson) on Dec 12, 2000 at 21:05 UTC

    Where is door #3?

    As JB says:

    "My whole world lies waiting behind Door #3"
      And where's the green door?
        Shakin' Stevens took it with him when he left...
Re: I prefer what's behind
by PsychoSpunk (Hermit) on Dec 12, 2000 at 22:26 UTC
    I chose Door #2, but only because there wasn't an option to take what's in the box that Hirosan is bringing down the aisle right now!

    Perhaps it was the vain hope that I would win my weight in red snappers. They're very tasty.


If given a choice....
by blogan (Monk) on Dec 12, 2000 at 23:54 UTC
    If you ever are given a choice of 3 doors (only one is a winner), you make a decision, they show you a booby prize behind a door you didn't choose, and then ask you if you want to change doors, say "Yes." You'll win 2/3 of the time. I have a simulation to show this, but it's written in Ada, so I'd be --'d for a while :)
      Unless, of course, they're trying to trick you by only showing you the booby prize if you picked the winning door. :)

      Here's an explanation of the odds, assuming they're playing fair:
      There's a 1/3 chance of picking the winning door right off. If you do that and then change your mind, you lose.
      There's a 2/3 chance of picking a losing door right off. If they show you a booby prize behind another door, there's only one door left, which has to be the winner. You change your mind and win.

        This will be my one and only contribution to this thread, I have seen the Monty Hall problem too many times.

        The situation where switching makes sense is if (as in the original problem) the announcer actually knows which door has the prize, and the announcer will always pick a door without the prize first. Then your analysis is correct. After the announcer shows you a losing door, your chance of winning if you switch is 2/3, versus 1/3 if you stay put.

        But if the announcer is an ignorant guesser, then it makes no difference whether you switch or not. This is the case that corresponds to most people's intuition - indeed the value of switching with the usual analysis is because the announcer affects the information available.

        The third case, which chipmunk alluded to, is the case of an evil announcer who knows the answer and wants you to fail. In this case you should stick to your guns...

Re: I prefer what's behind
by r.joseph (Hermit) on Dec 13, 2000 at 04:37 UTC

    Turn around, slowly, and run away from the doors. Run! RUN! RUN!!!!

    As you can probably guess, I voted for option number four :-).
      There is only one door... keep it simple stupid !!! ! !
Re: I prefer what's behind
by elusion (Curate) on Dec 16, 2000 at 08:36 UTC
    Too bad I'm not a saint, else I could get doors one, two, and the undocumented door three.

    - p u n k k i d
    "Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one." -Albert Einstein

Re: I prefer what's behind
by josh (Scribe) on Dec 15, 2000 at 03:29 UTC
    nevermind this door thing, where is the "play the price is right!" vote?
    the pluses of playing "the price is right" are numerous.
    for example:

    1. you see the prizes you get to choose
    2. there are beautiful women showing them off, albeit they don't say much.
    3. you get to spin a wheel, always a plus.
    4. there is no regis, BIG plus!!!
    5. you have to spay or neuter your pet before you go on, "sorry spot daddy's gonna get rich".
    6. merv griffens hair piece is ON merv griffen, so no surprises.
    7. it's better than family feud, can you say aunt mildred.
    8. you get to run down the eisle screaming
    9. you get a complementary name tag that is bigger than your head


    josh :)
Re: I prefer what's behind
by AgentM (Curate) on Dec 12, 2000 at 21:01 UTC
      The hax0r chix are mine!

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