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Re: Re: Poker Odds for Texas Holdem / Omahaby YuckFoo (Abbot) |
| on Mar 03, 2004 at 20:47 UTC ( [id://333680]=note: print w/replies, xml ) | Need Help?? |
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Let's change the game. You've got 9-10 suited. Intead of 5-6-K, it's 2-6-K, but the 2-6 is your suit. All other things are the same. So, we now have 9 outs in 39 cards. Your number is 19.1% (35.0%). My number is 23.1% (41.3%). If I've got a medium stack, that extra 4-6% means a lot.
In this second scenario, you know practically nothing about the suits of the players cards based on observations of their bets. If you are decreasing the number of remaining cards, you must also decrease the number of outs by the expected number of outs contained in those cards. If you go from 47 to 37 remaining cards, you must also lower your number of outs from 9 to about 7. Now you are back at %18.9. You can't get something for nothing. PokerFoo
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