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in reply to Re: The Monty Hall Trap Simulator
in thread The Monty Hall Trap Simulator
Not to be a pedant, but you're wrong. The problem is not quite as you stated it. The problem is, "Given three doors, and the following cirumstances, what's your chance to win if you switch?" Your restatement is, "Given two doors, what's your chance to win?" Your answer is correct for your problem, but your problem is different from what we're discussing here.
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man with no legs, inc. |
Re: Re: Re: The Monty Hall Trap Simulator
by rsmorawski (Initiate) on Jul 18, 2002 at 13:33 UTC
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Yes.. The original poster was absolutely correct. As are you.
Here is the logic I used to realize my mistake (that and 3 pieces of paper ;) )
If you pick a loosing door, and monty removes a loosing door, 100% of the time you will win if you switch.
Since you have a .66 chance of picking a loosing door, you have a .66 chance of winning when switching.
Rick | [reply] |
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